John McCain Still Can’t Convert 20-25% Of GOP Primary Voters

Since Barack Obama is already the Democratic nominee in all but name, the real news last night is that the GOP Presidential nominee John McCain still has Republican primary voters voting against him even though he’s running uncontested and already has more than enough delegates to win the nomination officially. I’ve discussed the prior races, including Pennsylvania, where more than one in four GOP primary voters voted against John McCain, and Mississippi, where one in five voted against him. Last night more than one in four North Carolinians voted against John McCain in the GOP primary - and more than one in five did so in Indiana.

If Republicans vote against John McCain when he’s the only candidate - how can McCain hope to win in the general election? John McCain cannot afford to let McCain defectors vote for Barack Obama - but he can’t afford for them to stay home either. If he’s going to have any hope of winning, John McCain will need to have Republicans vote for him - and the 75-80% GOP compliance evidenced in the last four uncontested primaries most likely isn’t enough in a general election.

Unconventional Wisdom - Scott Harper’s 13th Congressional Strategy

It is a political campaign maxim, particularly for non-incumbents, that campaigns must jealously focus on their own race to win - and that any ‘distraction’ from their campaign comes at great or even unbearable cost. While examples may exist, how often have you heard of an underdog congressional campaign taking their volunteers to canvass for a neighboring congressional candidate? Perhaps more uncommon, how often have you heard of a congressional candidate taking their volunteers out of state to canvass for a presidential candidate in a party primary? It may be unconventional strategy, but 13th Congressional District Democrat Scott Harper has taken campaign volunteers to support neighboring 14th District Congressman Bill Foster in his historic win, and just last weekend was canvassing for Barack Obama in Lafayette, Indiana with his volunteers.

Scott Harper may be in a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) “targeted race,” indicating that the party thinks he has a real chance of winning, but under traditional campaign standards one has to ask - is what he doing lunacy?

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DuPage Democrats’ Summer Golf Outing June 30

The Democratic Party of DuPage County will hold a fundraiser at Klein Creek Golf Club in Winfield. More details to come. Save the date.

Congressional Candidate Jill Morgenthaler’s New Website Up In IL-6

Jill Morgenthaler’s Congressional Campaign in IL-06 has started to pick up momentum with additions/changes in staff, Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) designation as a “targeted district” and a solid, if still needing to be ramped up, first full fundraising quarter quarter of over $200,000. The addition of experienced campaign manager Bill Romjue, who has worked for national and state Democratic campaigns since 1976, has helped the campaign, along with the addition of local Democratic staffers. Jill’s much improved website is likely a sign of better things to come - you can check it out at www.JillMorgenthaler.com. I plan to interview Jill Morgenthaler before too long - and look forward to hearing more about her campaign.

IL-13 Democrat Scott Harper Sends Volunteers To Obama In Indiana

From the Scott Harper for Congress Campaign:

“On Saturday, 38 volunteers from Scott Harper’s campaign traveled to Lafayette, Indiana to help get the vote out for Barack Obama. We left from Bolingbrook at the early hour of 6:00 AM on Saturday and spent the day canvassing Lafayette, which is right near Purdue University. Scott himself accompanied the volunteers and spent the day helping out Barack Obama. After hours of canvassing, volunteers came back to the headquarters and were greeted by Illinois’ other terrific Senator, Dick Durbin, who was also in the state to help get out the vote.

Scott Harper and volunteers in Indiana for Obama 5-3-08
[Photo from the Scott Harper Campaign]

The 38 volunteers we sent to Indiana was one of the biggest groups that the office had seen - and it shows how all of you are helping make our campaign a real grassroots success. Every night, we have more and more people coming into our office to talk to voters in the 13th District about Scott and our plans to change Washington. We are mobilizing activists like never before to beat Judy Biggert and win in November.

To learn more about Scott’s campaign and how you can get involved, visit www.scottharperforcongress.com or contact us at 630-848-2111.”

One Gas Price Cut Worth Pursuing

There’s been a lot of (right-minded) talk about why suspending gas taxes is a bad idea - it boils down to not changing cost too much for consumers, providing greater profits to already super profitable gas companies, and threatening federal highway funding. But you still could do something useful with gas pricing - charge Americans for the actual energy they’re getting at the pump instead of the varied (with temperature) fuel volume. “Hot fuel,” fuel that expands with higher temperatures and fills your tank with less energy, at today’s pricing over-charges Americans around $3 billion a year (in 2007 the estimate was over $2.3 billion) for the actual energy amount they get. Energy-based gas pricing that compensates for temperature, which is what wholesalers charge gas stations, exists for retail consumers in Canada and the state of Hawaii - and it’s what Americans should pay at the pump in the other 49 states too.

Most economist believe that there will be little or no savings for consumers from a federal gas tax holiday - and it could cost drivers in a lack of road repairs and the economy in lost construction jobs. In contrast being charged for the actual gas you purchase through “automatic temperature compensation” also would save individual Americans only a modest amount - temperature compensation gas isn’t a solution to our high energy costs. But instituting automatic temperature compensation doesn’t have the same negatives of the gas tax holiday - and has the benefit of charging people for what they actually purchase. That just strikes me as fair. Yes, fitting the automatic temperature controls on pumps will cost gas stations - but why shouldn’t they charge consumers only for the energy they pump? It’s what the gas stations themselves pay for when they buy the gas - and it’s what most consumers think they’re paying for at the pump too. If Americans knew they were paying full price to fill their gas tank with less than a full tank of energy, they’d probably feel ripped off. They’d be right.

Lisle Twp Dems Fundraiser At Naperville City Club May 8th

Come join us - it will be a fun night and it’s for a great cause, supporting the (now majority party) Lisle Township Democrats! Contact me @ hiramwurf[at]gmail.com or 630.416.2198 for tickets or more information.

Lisle Township Regular Democratic Organization Guy Maras Celebration

Thursday, May 8, 2008

7:30 PM – 9:30 PM

At The City Club (Naperville)

1163 E Ogden Ave, Naperville, IL

Individual Tickets $35

Complimentary Drink Ticket for Beer/Wine and Excellent Hors d’oeuvres!

About Guy Maras

Under Guy’s leadership the LTRDO has grown from a minority party in the township with limited influence on elections to a majority party in 2008. As the LTRDO has grown it has provided winning majorities for Secretary of State Jesse White in 2002, U.S. Senator Barack Obama in 2004, and in 2006 majorities for Attorney General Lisa Madigan, State Comptroller Dan Hynes and Secretary of State Jesse White. Guy Maras is a Managing Partner at the legal firm Hennessy and Roach specializing in Workers’ Compensation. Among his other civic affiliations Guy is a Director of the Union League Club of Chicago and serves as Chairman of its Membership Committee.

Make A Bigger Democratic Impact With Greater Support!

<< Fundraising Levels >>

Sponsor $1,000 and more
Benefits
- Plaque at event recognizing sponsorship and other recognition at event and in event literature
- Choose your favorite hors d’oeuvre from The City Club - and we’ll serve it!
- Up to 30 tickets
- Plus all individual ticket benefits

Co-Chair (write or raise $350)
Benefits
- Recognition at event and in event literature
- Up to ten tickets
- Plus all individual ticket benefits

Friend of Guy Maras (write or raise $175)
Benefits
- Recognition at event and in event literature
- Up to five tickets
- Plus all individual ticket benefits

Individual Tickets ($35)
Benefits
- Attendance at a great event!
- One drink ticket for beer or wine
- Hors d’oeuvres

Two Perspectives On Why Jeremiah Wright Isn’t In The Big Picture

From John Cole (h/t Kevin) - reminders that Jeremiah Wright was not involved in any of the offenses of national import that the Bush Administration was - and really, that John McCain wants largely to perpetuate:

“Is it an offensive notion that the government created aids? Absolutely, but I refuse to get all bent out of shape about it, because the government that tortures people and ran the Tuskegee experiment and wiretapped MLK for years opens itself up to crazy accusations like that.

So Jeremiah Wright has acted like a jackass the past few days, and he may have acted supremely selfishly by hurting Obama’s electoral chances. Regardless, he may be a flawed man, but that does not undo all the good he has done over the years…. Get back to me when Chris Matthews feeds hungry people for three decades….

[M]aybe I just refuse to spend any more time and energy getting worked up over and denouncing, distancing, and rejecting the wrong people - people who really don’t matter in the big scheme of things. If you have a memo from Jeremiah Wright to John You [sic] showing how we should become a rogue nation, let me know. If you have pictures of Jeremiah Wright voting against the GI Bill, send it to me. If you have evidence of Jeremiah Wright training junior soldiers on the finer aspects of stacking and torturing naked Iraqi captives, pass them on.

Until then, I just can’t seem to get all worked up about the crazy scary black preacher that Obama has to ‘throw under the bus.’”

E.J. Dionne on the difference between big picture and small picture elections:

“This is supposed to be a big election, but it has given every sign in recent weeks of becoming a small one. As a result, the public and the media are showing signs of exhaustion with what had once been an exhilarating contest.

In big elections, voters know how much is at stake. They focus on central problems, not manufactured issues or the personal foibles of candidates. In big elections, such as those of 1968, 1980 and 1992, voters realize they are deciding whether to move the country in a new direction.

In small elections, by contrast, voters sense that the outcome is unlikely to make much difference, though they (and the media) can be wrong about this.
….
Before the battle for Pennsylvania, the 2008 presidential contest looked as big as elections get. The country’s deep disillusionment with Bush, akin to the disillusionment with Jimmy Carter in 1980, portends a wish by voters to move in a different direction, albeit one quite unlike the path chosen 28 years ago. The issues discussed in debates and on the stump were the important ones: an Iraq War in which victory is elusive, an economy falling into disarray, a health care system failing employees and employers alike.
….
Then something happened. Specifically, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright….

All this has helped Hillary Clinton in the short run, and she has used her opening well…. And she is, suddenly, a right-wing hero, not the victim of a vast right-wing conspiracy.

Yes, the conservative commentariat has turned her way, or at least against Obama. Of course, these are temporary conversions of convenience. But there is a lesson in the eagerness to spur on the Democratic fight in its current form, and it’s about more than just enjoying watching Clinton and Obama eviscerate each other.

The smaller this election looks, the easier it will be for the Republicans to run campaigns such as those they orchestrated in 2000 and 1988 in which the particular flaws of candidates take on an exaggerated importance…. Were Hillary Clinton to win the nomination, she, no less than Obama, would need this to be a big election. This is something Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton all understood about the contests in which they prevailed.

Contrary to those who are cynical about democracy, voters themselves are rarely manipulated into thinking that big elections are actually small ones. But the candidates and the media, with some help from Jeremiah Wright, are doing all they can to run this election through an Incredible Shrinking Machine. Obama and Clinton should not make it harder for Americans to have the election they want.”

DuPage County Board 5 Candidate Tony Michelassi Gets Press

Democratic Candidate Tony Michelassi got picked up by the Lisle Sun in a profile here - and Progress Illinois picked it up here. I met Tony a while ago (he was then with Ruben Zamora’s 14th Congressional District campaign) - and he is certainly enthusiastic. You can check out Tony’s campaign blog here.

Andrew Sullivan On Karl Rove And John McCain

When their only principle is power, is it strange that the powerful are unprincipled?

Karl Rove feigns an innocent appreciation of John McCain.

Meanwhile, consider that John McCain believes it’s ok for the CIA to torture - although he uses other words for it.

Draw your own conclusion.