ThatColoredFella suggests that Kerry’s speech, like Regan’s convention speech when battling Carter, could be what leads to a similar landslide. I don’t know that the speech itself will do it, though it sets the right tone, but I will say I’ve been thinking for a little while that Bush was quite vulnerable. For the last month or so I’ve been thinking that not only is this Kerry’s to lose, but that Kerry could actually win big. While polls aren’t showing a runaway race, I take my gut feeling from constituencies that Bush is losing, pundits like George Will and David Brooks who find that Bush is in trouble and a real inability to see where Bush picks up votes from here. You know you’re in trouble when administration advocates are recommending voters take Prozac to deal with your policies. It may be that Bush campaign workers believe in better voting through pharmaceuticals, but with drug prices soaring and more and more people lacking health insurance, it is a failed strategy.
WurfWhile
Insight - Foresight - Hindsight
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Come on, Hirum.
Runaway? Please. This is going to be tight.
If you think Boston went well…wait until you see NYC.
The GOP is a disciplined bunch. They look at this like a business and treat it as such.
We will “charm the pants” off a lot of people in the beginning of September.
Like I said here ealier. This is “EVENT DRIVEN”. It is about larger social events. Economy, Iraq, Terror….
Posted 31 Jul 2004 at 8:16 pm ¶Two responses, after acknowledging that this is my gut take, and I grant projecting Kerry winning big is going out on a limb.
That said, here are the two points:
1. Bush does have a business background, if he’s been using it in his administration and is using in this election that (a) explains the increasing deficit, (b) explains why little seems to be ‘a going concern’ policy-wise and (c) explains why he can use all the help and more from his friends and family to bail him out (unfortunately for him, the purchase of an entire country may be beyond even their means). Look at his business record, it speaks loudly for itself.
2. Event driven? Name that event that he’s been an even moderate success in among those that you mention (Economy, Iraq, Terror) or almost anything else that has mass appeal (i.e. tax relief for the upper 1% by definition is not “mass appeal”)?
Finally, the problem with “charming people’s pants off” is that when so much is going wrong it’s hard not to notice that your wallet’s in your pants.
Posted 31 Jul 2004 at 10:00 pm ¶Post a Comment